Livestock trade boosted by strong retail demand and a return to restaurants

Things are looking up for the livestock trade – a well-timed festival, coupled with strong retail and a slowly recovering restaurant sector, is creating healthy demand and pushing up prices, say auctioneers.

“The prime sheep trade is in full swing and timing is on-point,” says Scott Donaldson, president, of the Institute of Auctioneers and Appraisers in Scotland (IAAS).

“This year, lambs have performed exceptionally well and finished earlier with heavier weights. This has coincided with the Muslim festival of Qurbani on 31st July, which has driven the finished lamb trade, not just domestically but for UK customers in Northern Europe too.

“As a result, every mart in Scotland has sold more lambs since the beginning of June than the same period last year,” says Mr Donaldson.

Both lamb and beef prices in Scotland are up significantly on last year, says Mr Donaldson.

“The improved outlook has been driven by a strong retail trade, thanks to people continuing to eat more at home during the pandemic,” he says.

“But the ‘Eat out to help out’ scheme is also starting to get customers back to restaurants, which will hopefully push up demand for choice meat cuts again.”

Price rises

Prices have responded well, driving Scottish live weight lamb values up about 20p/kg in June compared to last year. By the end of July, the gap had widened to about 30p/kg, pushing prices to an extra £10-15 a head on average over the season.

“That extra cash is a big help and has taken lamb prices nearer to where they should be, given inflation and the frustratingly slow creep upwards in values over the last few decades,” adds Mr Donaldson.

“Beef producers have also, thankfully, seen prices rise. Deadweight cattle values are roughly 40p/ kg, or £140 per carcass higher than this time last year. Given how diabolical last year’s trade was, this is a welcome reprieve.”

In the week beginning 3 August, deadweight prices reached 380p/kg deadweight for Scottish cattle – the same week last year values had plummeted to 335p/kg, down from 360p/kg in 2018.

This strong trade has in turn added value to store cattle, which have seen prices rise £100 – £150/ head on the year.

Looking ahead

“Looking ahead, things could stay buoyant for store cattle: there’s plenty of feed and grass about, and with a shortage of finished animals coming forward, there’s no sign of values easing.

And it’s having another positive affect: with buoyant demand and marts providing a competitive edge, auctioneers say there are more lambs in the ring from sellers who would normally sell deadweight.

“For lambs, there’s a confidence in the trade right now, which is giving the breeding sheep and store lamb sales a boost.

“Let’s hope this continues, as Britain – or Scotland at least – gradually gets back to eating out again.”

 

 

 

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About The Author

John Swire - Deputy editor of Agronomist and Arable Farmer as well as responsibility for the Agronomist and Arable Farmer and Farm Business websites. After 17 years milking cows on the family farm John started writing about agriculture in 1998 and has since written for a variety of publications and has developed a wide circle of contacts within the industry. When not working John is a season ticket holder at Stoke City and also of late has become a fitness freak, listing cycling, swimming and walking as his exercises of choice.