In an uncertain climate UK farmland values remain polarised

Average rural land values remained broadly flat in England and Wales during Q1 2019 according to new data from Carter Jonas, the national property consultancy. However regional variations were apparent and buyers and sellers continued to remain cautious due to Brexit uncertainty.

Whilst transactions levels traditionally decrease during the first quarter of the year, there has been a significant reduction in activity across the sector, and this languid market has impacted on pricing levels.

Average arable land values now sit at £8,719 per acre, down by 0.3% on Q1 2018. Average pasture land values fell across both the quarter and annually, by 0.9% and 1.3% respectively, to £6,803 per acre.

Across the regions, buyers are still keen to acquire land for the right price. However, with the exception of the South of England where activity remained robust, limited availability has restrained the market.

Assets that are best-in-class, well-located or offer viable development potential remain attractive and, in some cases, sales have been agreed at or in excess of the guide price.

Andrew Fallows, head of Carter Jonas, said: “Undoubtedly, limited supply and wider economic and political concerns have caused people to take stock, with many waiting for clarity over Brexit before launching or buying assets.

“Faced with the heightened level of uncertainty over the past few months, these findings are not unexpected. In the current climate, demand for land is being driven by location and opportunities to add value and diversify.

“For example, land with development potential has long since commanded a price premium, particularly when compared to the steady performance of agricultural land values. An ongoing relaxation in planning policy has unlocked more opportunities for the development of agricultural land, with developers and house builders, on the whole, willing to absorb those costs. Additionally, in some areas, rollover buyers continue to stimulate activity, looking to acquire in the locality of their existing holdings.”

Support remains available for agricultural purchasers. This is reflected in debt levels which are at record highs. Low interest rates continue to benefit the sector and there is clear evidence of purchasers looking at long term fixed rates.

Mr Fallows concluded: “Whilst we cannot avoid the current challenges impacting on the market, we are starting to see signs of improvement. Buyers are continuing to drive activity and some land, particularly smaller parcels, are attracting premium prices.”

 

 

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About The Author

John Swire - Deputy editor of Agronomist and Arable Farmer as well as responsibility for the Agronomist and Arable Farmer and Farm Business websites. After 17 years milking cows on the family farm John started writing about agriculture in 1998 and has since written for a variety of publications and has developed a wide circle of contacts within the industry. When not working John is a season ticket holder at Stoke City and also of late has become a fitness freak, listing cycling, swimming and walking as his exercises of choice.